Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000151 0.000168 0.000185 0.000205 0.000227 0.000251 0.000280
2025-06-01 0.000119 0.000141 0.000167 0.000200 0.000240 0.000288 0.000350
2025-06-08 0.000098 0.000122 0.000153 0.000193 0.000246 0.000314 0.000408
2025-06-15 0.000087 0.000113 0.000147 0.000195 0.000262 0.000352 0.000484
2025-06-22 0.000079 0.000107 0.000144 0.000199 0.000279 0.000392 0.000569
2025-06-29 0.000070 0.000098 0.000137 0.000195 0.000283 0.000414 0.000629
2025-07-06 0.000062 0.000089 0.000127 0.000187 0.000280 0.000424 0.000671
2025-07-13 0.000058 0.000084 0.000124 0.000187 0.000290 0.000455 0.000750
2025-07-20 0.000054 0.000081 0.000122 0.000190 0.000304 0.000493 0.000845
2025-07-27 0.000050 0.000077 0.000118 0.000189 0.000310 0.000519 0.000923
2025-08-03 0.000048 0.000075 0.000117 0.000191 0.000324 0.000559 0.001032
2025-08-10 0.000045 0.000071 0.000113 0.000189 0.000327 0.000581 0.001110
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000067 0.000109 0.000187 0.000332 0.000608 0.001206
2025-08-24 0.000038 0.000063 0.000105 0.000184 0.000337 0.000635 0.001306
2025-08-31 0.000035 0.000059 0.000099 0.000178 0.000333 0.000645 0.001374
2025-09-07 0.000034 0.000057 0.000098 0.000180 0.000346 0.000692 0.001532
2025-09-14 0.000032 0.000056 0.000098 0.000184 0.000363 0.000748 0.001721
2025-09-21 0.000030 0.000053 0.000094 0.000180 0.000363 0.000768 0.001828
2025-09-28 0.000028 0.000049 0.000089 0.000172 0.000354 0.000767 0.001879
2025-10-05 0.000026 0.000047 0.000087 0.000173 0.000364 0.000810 0.002055
2025-10-12 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000175 0.000378 0.000864 0.002276
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000045 0.000085 0.000174 0.000383 0.000898 0.002444
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000176 0.000398 0.000959 0.002705